Populations & samples

Tier: #Foundation #Higher

🔗What you need to know first
How to

A population is the entire group being studied. A sample is a smaller group selected from the population to represent it.

Why sample? Surveying an entire population is often impractical, expensive, or time-consuming. A well-chosen sample gives reliable conclusions about the population.

Properties of a good sample:

  • Representative — reflects the population's characteristics
  • Large enough — reduces the effect of chance variation
  • Random — every member has an equal chance of being selected

Types of sampling:

  • Simple random: every member equally likely to be chosen (e.g. names from a hat)
  • Stratified: population split into groups (strata); each group sampled in proportion $$\text{Sample from stratum} = \frac{\text{stratum size}}{\text{population size}} \times \text{sample size}$$
  • Systematic: every $n$th member selected from an ordered list

Bias: a sample is biased if certain groups are over- or under-represented, making conclusions unreliable.

Common error: assuming a large sample is automatically unbiased — size doesn't eliminate biased selection.

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Questions to practise

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📝Past paper questions
💬What the examiners say
  • "In part (ii) there were many good answers which made reference to "representative", "proportional", or the "same ratio"."
  • "The main error is getting the fractions the wrong way round when setting up the equation."
⬆️How you can quickly improve
  • Keep fractions exact throughout multi-step calculations (1/3, not 0.3) and only convert to a decimal in the final step.
  • When explaining a sampling method, use the words 'representative', 'proportional', or 'same ratio' — these terms earn the marks.
  • Set up capture-recapture as: (first caught) / (total population) = (marked in second catch) / (total recaptured), then cross-multiply to solve.
ℹ️Calculator tricks