Correlation

Tier: #Foundation #Higher

🔗What you need to know first
How to

Correlation describes the relationship between two variables plotted on a scatter graph.

Types of correlation:

  • Positive correlation: as one variable increases, so does the other — points slope upward left to right
  • Negative correlation: as one variable increases, the other decreases — points slope downward
  • No correlation: no visible pattern — points scattered randomly

Strength of correlation:

  • Strong: points close to a straight line
  • Weak: points loosely scattered around a trend
  • Perfect: all points lie exactly on a line (rare in real data)

$$\text{Positive: } r > 0, \quad \text{Negative: } r < 0, \quad \text{No correlation: } r \approx 0$$

Important: correlation does not imply causation — two variables may be correlated due to a third (confounding) variable.

The line of best fit passes through the mean point $(\bar{x}, \bar{y})$ and minimises the overall distance of points from the line.

Common error: confusing correlation with causation, or drawing a line of best fit that does not pass through the mean point.

Questions to practise

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📝Past paper questions
💬What the examiners say
  • "An answer of 'positive correlation' was acceptable but students who gave an answer of 'positive' or 'positive relationship' were not awarded the mark."
⬆️How you can quickly improve
  • Always include the word 'correlation' in your description — write 'positive correlation', not just 'positive'.
  • Only use 'directly proportional' if the relationship passes through the origin and has a constant ratio — correlation alone doesn't imply proportionality.
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